Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T21:43:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.0
score
60 0x60cc…9b74 other 31 markets active 1h ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy Fading edge
✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$910 (+29%) realized +$910 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -3% what you keep after slip
Net edge-3%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate48%15W / 16L
Drawdown24%max
Avg bet$100per market
Trades / day3.3pace
Fees−$20est.
Kalshi-fit48%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$292
14 days+$728
30 days+$1,042
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 57% +$493
sports 33% +$531
crypto 10% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -24.4% -31.6% 37% 37% +4.3%
≤30d 31 +11.5% +0.9% 48% 45% +21.9%
≤90d 31 +11.5% +0.9% 48% 45% +21.9%
all 31 +11.5% +0.9% 48% 45% +21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +0.9% 45% +21.9%
10% -8.8% 45% +10.2%
15% -17.6% 45% -0.4%
20% -25.7% 35% -10.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +35% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +35% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +46% → late -21% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$111 vs −$39 · ×2.86 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.68 per $1 lost it wins $2.68
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$910
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses15 / 16
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)31 / 31
History coverage19d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit48%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 31 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $202 −$8 -4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $203 −$10 -5%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $102 +$139 +136%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $303 +$138 +46%
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Jun 23 $202 −$200 -99%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $21 −$20 -98%
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 23 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $202 +$96 +48%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $20 +$29 +141%
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Jun 20 $20 +$10 +49%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $203 +$117 +58%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Ireland Jun 19 $51 −$50 -98%
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? Jun 19 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $259 +$172 +66%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotland Jun 18 $135 −$32 -24%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $21 −$20 -98%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $122 +$81 +67%
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 15 $31 +$95 +310%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Jun 14 $36 −$35 -98%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $72 +$201 +280%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $61 +$140 +229%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $102 +$58 +57%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $234 +$277 +118%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire Jun 06 $122 +$109 +90%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 06 $211 −$72 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? SELL Yes 61¢ $194 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? SELL Yes 50¢ $193 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? SELL Yes 94¢ $241 1h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 62¢ $202 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 39¢ $102 4h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 51¢ $203 17h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 68¢ $101 23h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 68¢ $202 23h
Will England win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 67¢ $202 24h
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 28h
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? BUY Yes 15¢ $21 28h
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $20 41h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 100¢ $298 2d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 67¢ $202 2d
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 2d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? SELL Yes 96¢ $49 3d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 39¢ $20 4d
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? SELL Yes 45¢ $31 4d
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $20 4d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? SELL Yes 93¢ $320 4d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 58¢ $203 4d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Ireland BUY Ireland 31¢ $51 5d
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 5d
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 80¢ $431 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 47¢ $81 6d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 47¢ $102 6d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotland BUY Scotland 14¢ $10 6d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotland BUY Scotland 33¢ $22 6d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 15¢ $21 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 66 history records