Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:49:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
60 0x60cc…aa53 crypto 58 markets active 2d ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$10 (-5%) realized −$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -41% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -54% what you keep after slip
Net edge-54%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate24%14W / 44L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day59.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-46.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -40.7% -46.3% 24% 24% -31.9%
≤30d 58 -40.7% -46.3% 24% 24% -31.9%
≤90d 58 -40.7% -46.3% 24% 24% -31.9%
all 58 -40.7% -46.3% 24% 24% -31.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -46.3% 24% -31.9%
10% ← realistic here -51.5% 19% -38.4%
15% -56.2% 19% -44.3%
20% -60.5% 17% -49.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 33% · top 2 46% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -25% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -41% · $-wt -25% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -45% → late -36% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.82 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses14 / 44
Open positions0
Markets (closed)58 / 58
History coverage4d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day59.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 58 Trades
no open positions (37 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$4 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3AM ET Jun 15 $27 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$15 +475%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$5 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 225 history records