Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:19:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60bf…ebb6
sports · 79 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$269 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$169 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized+$169
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses38 / 40
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions1
Markets (closed)78 / 79
History coverage605d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 1 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$195
14 days+$211
30 days+$181
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 5.5 Corners Over 49¢ 50¢ $29 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Juan Bautista Torres 28¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Cirstea vs. Raducanu: Match O/U 21.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
England vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 14¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Zachary Svajda vs. Martin Damm: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Alexander Bublik 35¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners Over 34¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
England vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Zachary Svajda 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 43¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jan-Lennard Struff 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners Jun 14 $58 −$57 -99%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $46 +$74 +159%
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Jun 14 $90 +$43 +48%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $41 −$40 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Zachary Svajda vs. Martin Damm: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $10 +$12 +119%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $16 −$16 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 6.5 Corners Jun 13 $19 +$21 +107%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $16 +$14 +90%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $94 +$7 +8%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $20 −$19 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 12 $10 +$10 +96%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $18 +$4 +21%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $10 +$10 +96%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $35 +$25 +73%
Cirstea vs. Raducanu: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$17 +170%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $23 +$16 +69%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $7 +$3 +39%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $4 +$16 +414%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $7 +$7 +95%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 11 $61 +$60 +99%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $25 +$7 +27%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $9 −$8 -97%
England vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 +$5 +98%
England vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $61 +$60 +98%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 10 $36 −$11 -29%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $15 $0 -2%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $15 −$15 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $37 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -19%
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% +$191
crypto 14% −$68
other 9% +$61
politics 1% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 49¢ $30 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners BUY Over 10¢ $5 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners BUY Over 33¢ $11 3h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners BUY Over 49¢ $30 3h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners BUY Over 53¢ $10 4h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 8.5 Corners BUY Over 50¢ $2 4h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 42¢ $29 5h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 34¢ $17 5h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 11¢ $6 5h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 9¢ $5 6h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 11¢ $3 6h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 16¢ $2 6h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 23¢ $5 6h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 49¢ $120 6h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 49¢ $2 6h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 49¢ $1 6h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 49¢ $2 6h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 49¢ $2 6h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 49¢ $2 6h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 49¢ $2 6h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 24¢ $3 7h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 24¢ $17 7h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 24¢ $48 7h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 24¢ $1 7h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 33¢ $10 7h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 50¢ $20 7h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 34¢ $10 8h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 46¢ $10 10h
Zachary Svajda vs. Martin Damm: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 53¢ $10 11h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -14.7% -22.8% 42% 39% +7.2%
≤30d 76 -10.2% -18.7% 49% 43% +3.8%
≤90d 76 -10.2% -18.7% 49% 43% +3.8%
all 78 -10.5% -19.1% 49% 44% +2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.1% 44% +2.7%
10% -26.8% 36% -7.1%
15% -33.9% 31% -16.1%
20% -40.4% 26% -24.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.70 · official $29.70 (match) · 287 history records