Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60bf…16f4
crypto · 1159 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$26 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$28
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses536 / 617
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1153 / 1159
History coverage70d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day31.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 6 History 1153 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$53
14 days+$39
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? No 80¢ 78¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 60¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 37¢ 34¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 53¢ 66¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+30%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -72%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$48
other 7% +$21
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $4 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 74¢ $5 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 98¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $4 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 53¢ $4 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 80¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 -6.4% -15.3% 35% 28% -15.5%
≤30d 592 -1.7% -11.1% 45% 38% -9.1%
≤90d 1153 -3.8% -13.0% 46% 40% -10.2%
all 1153 -3.8% -13.0% 46% 40% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 40% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 36% -18.8%
15% -28.9% 36% -26.6%
20% -35.9% 34% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.93 · official $15.63 (match) · 3308 history records