Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T21:26:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
60 0x60be…be43 crypto 975 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Total PnL +$15 (+1%) realized −$30 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate73%716W / 259L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day86.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$14
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 +1.9% -7.8% 77% 37% -10.7%
≤30d 975 +3.1% -6.7% 73% 43% -10.5%
≤90d 975 +3.1% -6.7% 73% 43% -10.5%
all 975 +3.1% -6.7% 73% 43% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover86.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.7% 43% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.6% 24% -19.1%
15% -23.8% 11% -26.9%
20% -31.2% 4% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses716 / 259
Open positions0
Markets (closed)975 / 975
History coverage30d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day86.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 975 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 31h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 31h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records