Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:49:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60bb…d7d0
crypto · 1344 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,511 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,502 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,502
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses561 / 783
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1344 / 1344
History coverage7d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day310.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1344 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$312
7 days−$1,502
14 days−$1,502
30 days−$1,502
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 30¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 49¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 49¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 49¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 49¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 49¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 49¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 48¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,511
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1344 -8.7% -17.4% 42% 42% -20.6%
≤30d 1344 -8.7% -17.4% 42% 42% -20.6%
≤90d 1344 -8.7% -17.4% 42% 42% -20.6%
all 1344 -8.7% -17.4% 42% 42% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover310.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 42% -20.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 42% -28.2%
15% -32.5% 42% -35.2%
20% -39.1% 42% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.60 · official $3.90 · 3500 history records