Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60b9…fa31
crypto · 418 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$251 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$248 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$110
Realized−$248
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses183 / 227
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions8
Markets (closed)410 / 418
History coverage111d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day15.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 8 History 410 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75
7 days+$74
14 days+$74
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 62¢ 62¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 60¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 4.5 Corners Over 68¢ 64¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-5%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $12 $11 −$0 (-2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 80¢ 80¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-27%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $219 $0 −$219 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $162 +$71 +44%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $89 −$72 -80%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $106 +$10 +10%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $82 +$24 +29%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 7.5 Corners Jun 13 $33 +$49 +149%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $34 −$1 -2%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $7 −$1 -7%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $11 −$1 -9%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $36 −$2 -6%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $3 $0 -10%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $15 −$1 -6%
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"? May 20 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"? May 19 $2 $0 -23%
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"? May 19 $2 $0 -14%
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"? May 19 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 19 $2 −$1 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 19 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 19 $14 −$12 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 19 $10 −$6 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 19 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 19 $17 +$3 +20%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 19 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 19 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 16 $3 −$2 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 16 $3 −$1 -32%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 16 $3 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 16 $2 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 15 $22 −$19 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 15 $12 −$3 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 15 $12 −$11 -94%
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? May 15 $21 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 15 $2 −$2 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 15 $5 −$3 -53%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET May 15 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 15 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET May 15 $3 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$394
sports 6% +$151
other 4% −$89
politics 3% +$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 68¢ $15 35m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 62¢ $20 52m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $12 58m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $30 58m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 80¢ $8 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 62¢ $25 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $40 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $115 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 97¢ $113 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 93¢ $114 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 77¢ $18 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 12¢ $17 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 31¢ $0 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $4 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 25¢ $4 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $16 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $69 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $31 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $116 4h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 91¢ $106 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $106 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 BUY Under 76¢ $82 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 7.5 Corners SELL Over 99¢ $82 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Over 12¢ $3 8h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 8h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 7.5 Corners BUY Over 39¢ $33 8h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 81¢ $33 8h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $34 8h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $7 8h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $9 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-27.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -1.2% -10.6% 29% 21% +1.9%
≤30d 73 -33.4% -39.7% 34% 29% -10.7%
≤90d 279 -25.9% -32.9% 41% 34% -11.3%
all 410 -20.1% -27.7% 45% 38% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.7% 38% -12.3%
10% -34.6% 28% -20.7%
15% -40.9% 22% -28.4%
20% -46.7% 17% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $109.64 · official $109.65 (match) · 1838 history records