Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:00:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60b8…d47d
sports · 1090 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,158 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,031 · open −$122
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$1,031
Unrealized−$122
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses640 / 447
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$75
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1087 / 1090
History coverage158d
Avg bet$95
Trades / day17.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 3 History 1087 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$95
7 days+$43
14 days−$224
30 days−$278
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 88¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 31¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 41¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 46¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 36¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 43¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 15¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner B8 57¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Vitality 80¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 GamerLegion 45¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage Ursa 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 46¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 45¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner FlyQuest 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BetBoom Team 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner GamerLegion 63¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 52¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Heroic 83¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs FURIA 41¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 46¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $101 +$31 +31%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $64 +$25 +40%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $100 −$36 -36%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $50 −$50 -99%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $30 +$28 +93%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $118 +$40 +34%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $36 +$36 +101%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $101 −$100 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $126 +$76 +60%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $34 −$33 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 +$27 +54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $35 +$30 +86%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $26 −$19 -76%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $46 −$25 -55%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 11 $19 +$23 +117%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $25 +$17 +66%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $51 +$40 +79%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $81 −$9 -10%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $41 +$60 +147%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $15 +$9 +62%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $91 −$90 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $41 −$40 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $36 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $152 +$120 +79%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $10 +$11 +109%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$5 +48%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$4 +36%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $30 +$10 +34%
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) Jun 09 $31 +$47 +154%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $43 +$23 +54%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $8 +$6 +76%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $14 +$15 +105%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $30 +$10 +32%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $14 −$13 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$3 +30%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $15 −$15 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $25 −$25 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $45 +$16 +35%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $25 +$20 +79%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $18 −$18 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $15 +$5 +35%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$5 -50%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$11 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$757
other 7% −$399
world 1% −$29
crypto 1% +$62
politics 0% −$29
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $17 33m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $3 34m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 31¢ $122 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $129 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 75¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 1¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 3¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 96¢ $108 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 71¢ $81 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $90 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $64 12h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 56¢ $64 21h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 62¢ $15 22h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $35 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $100 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 46¢ $15 23h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Vitality 80¢ $50 23h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $59 23h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $158 23h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 82¢ $37 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $50 25h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 51¢ $30 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $30 25h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $71 26h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $101 39h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $36 39h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $25 39h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 36¢ $31 45h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $51 45h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $202 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 +0.7% -8.9% 57% 57% -7.5%
≤30d 74 -10.9% -19.4% 51% 51% -18.4%
≤90d 196 -6.0% -15.0% 57% 51% -15.1%
all 1087 -3.7% -12.9% 59% 49% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 49% -10.4%
10% -21.2% 39% -19.0%
15% -28.8% 30% -26.8%
20% -35.8% 20% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.13 · official $17.13 (match) · 3500 history records