Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:10:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
60 0x60b8…81e0 crypto 86 markets active 4h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL +$33,245 (+22%) realized +$26,828 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate45%39W / 47L
Whale WR73%big bets
Drawdown41%max
Avg bet$1,767per market
Trades / day2704.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$26,828
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2704 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -2.6% -11.9% 45% 45% +6.4%
≤30d 86 -2.6% -11.9% 45% 45% +6.4%
≤90d 86 -2.6% -11.9% 45% 45% +6.4%
all 86 -2.6% -11.9% 45% 45% +6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2704.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 45% +6.4%
10% -20.3% 45% -3.7%
15% ← realistic here -28.0% 44% -13.0%
20% -35.1% 41% -21.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +18% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +18% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 73% (≥$3,349) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -11% → late +6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
26.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,987 vs −$1,078 · ×1.84 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.53 per $1 lost it wins $1.53
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$26,828
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses39 / 47
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)86 / 86
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,767
Trades / day2704.2
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 86 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $129 −$129 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $1,572 −$1,572 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1,740 −$1,740 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $726 −$726 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $3,645 −$3,645 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $4,554 −$4,554 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $4,210 −$4,210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $3,461 +$2,263 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $3,432 −$3,432 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $3,526 +$2,321 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $3,052 −$3,052 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $3,175 +$2,116 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $3,240 +$2,159 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $3,260 +$2,184 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1,490 −$1,490 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $3,021 +$2,003 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $2,324 −$2,324 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $3,431 +$2,298 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $281 +$330 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $691 −$682 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $425 −$425 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $346 −$346 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1,242 −$1,242 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $213 +$367 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $149 +$649 +435%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1,614 −$1,614 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $3,643 +$2,091 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $3,276 +$1,821 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $3,230 +$1,820 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $3,542 +$1,634 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $2,993 +$1,400 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $4,258 +$2,771 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $3,797 −$3,797 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $4,934 +$3,225 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $3,682 +$1,968 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5,796 +$5,349 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $3,931 +$2,400 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $3,877 +$2,393 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $4,234 −$4,234 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $4,730 +$3,272 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2,332 +$5,230 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,423 −$1,423 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,577 +$1,180 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2,138 −$2,138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $283 −$283 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $882 −$882 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $203 −$203 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $64 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records