Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:52:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60a9…ce04
crypto · 115 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$118 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$105 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized−$105
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses44 / 65
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)109 / 115
History coverage64d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 6 History 109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 70¢ 64¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-8%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? No 59¢ 36¢ $20 $12 −$8 (-38%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 76¢ 52¢ $15 $10 −$5 (-31%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 27¢ 23¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-16%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 73¢ 99¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+35%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 87¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Truist Championship? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Truist Championship? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? No 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Rockets Lakers 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 02 $3 +$4 +122%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $2 +$3 +144%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? May 12 $6 +$1 +24%
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Truist Championship? May 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Truist Championship? May 10 $1 −$1 -97%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? May 10 $2 +$1 +59%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? May 10 $3 +$4 +122%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 10 $5 +$7 +144%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship? May 02 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Apr 26 $4 +$3 +67%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 26 $2 −$2 -98%
Knicks vs. Hawks Apr 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Apr 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Apr 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Apr 25 $6 −$5 -90%
Knicks vs. Hawks Apr 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Apr 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Apr 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 25 $2 +$6 +325%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Apr 24 $7 −$6 -82%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? Apr 23 $5 +$1 +20%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? Apr 23 $2 +$4 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Apr 23 $2 +$4 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Apr 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Apr 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Apr 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Apr 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Apr 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Apr 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 22 $2 +$3 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Apr 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Apr 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Apr 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage? Apr 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Apr 20 $1 +$3 +349%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Apr 19 $11 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Apr 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Hawks vs. Knicks Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Apr 19 $4 +$1 +31%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 19 $3 +$5 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Apr 18 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Apr 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Apr 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Apr 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Apr 18 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Apr 18 $3 +$1 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$107
world 8% +$13
other 4% −$26
sports 4% +$6
tech 2% −$1
politics 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $3 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 76¢ $15 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? BUY No 59¢ $20 2d
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Truist Championship? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 33d
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Truist Championship? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 33d
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Truist Championship? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 33d
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 41d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 47d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 47d
Lakers vs. Rockets BUY Lakers 45¢ $2 47d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 48d
Knicks vs. Hawks BUY Hawks 11¢ $1 48d
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves BUY Nuggets 49¢ $4 48d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 48d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 48d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 48d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 48d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 48d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 48d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 50d
Lakers vs. Rockets BUY Lakers 23¢ $2 50d
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves BUY Nuggets 56¢ $3 50d
Knicks vs. Hawks BUY Knicks 52¢ $2 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 50d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +133.1% +110.9% 100% 100% +108.9%
≤90d 109 -7.5% -16.3% 40% 40% -23.2%
all 109 -7.5% -16.3% 40% 40% -23.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.3% 40% -23.2%
10% -24.4% 36% -30.5%
15% -31.7% 30% -37.2%
20% -38.4% 23% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.91 · official $45.91 (match) · 305 history records