trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 45% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 45% | 0% | -8.7% |
| all | 18 | +6.3% | -3.8% | 67% | 6% | +1.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.8% | 6% | +1.1% |
| 10% | -13.0% | 6% | -8.6% |
| 15% | -21.4% | 6% | -17.4% |
| 20% | -29.1% | 6% | -25.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $49 | $49 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 26 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 25 | $49 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $46 | +$1 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 22 | $42 | +$2 | +4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 21 | $43 | −$1 | -1% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 21 | $41 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 21 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 19 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 42°F or below on March 23? | Mar 22 | $205 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Mar 21? | Mar 22 | $199 | +$6 | +3% |
| Will "The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent" win Best Action Short Film | Mar 20 | $105 | +$94 | +89% |