Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:50:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
60 0x609d…8c2f sports 45 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (83 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$121 (+0%) realized +$116 · open +$5
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%42W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$2,909per market
Trades / day82.7pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$10,088now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$126
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (83 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 42 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 42 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 42 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover82.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% ← realistic here -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$3,276) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
10.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$10,088
Realized+$116
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses42 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions3
Markets (closed)42 / 45
History coverage6d
Avg bet$2,909
Trades / day82.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 42 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $5,987 $5,990 +$3 (+0%)
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $2,997 $2,998 +$2 (+0%)
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $1,099 $1,099 +$1 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $5,994 +$6 +0%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $3,276 +$3 +0%
Kawkab AC vs. IR Tanger: IR Tanger O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $100 $0 +0%
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $4,531 +$4 +0%
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $5,569 +$6 +0%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $999 +$1 +0%
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $2,997 +$3 +0%
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $999 +$1 +0%
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $2,997 +$3 +0%
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $5,994 +$6 +0%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $1,817 +$2 +0%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $2,997 +$3 +0%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $5,994 +$6 +0%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $5,994 +$6 +0%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $5,994 +$6 +0%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $1,984 +$2 +0%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $166 $0 +0%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $5,994 +$6 +0%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3,882 +$4 +0%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $2,498 +$2 +0%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $2,498 +$2 +0%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $4,995 +$5 +0%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $256 $0 +0%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $641 +$1 +0%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $2,498 +$2 +0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $999 +$1 +0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $999 +$1 +0%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1,998 +$2 +0%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $999 +$1 +0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $1 12m
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $21 34m
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $2 46m
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $10 48m
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $18 54m
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $343 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $14 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $37 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $14 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $151 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $24 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $19 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $77 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $10 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $1 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $98 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $10 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $169 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $8 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $15 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $30 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $30 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 BUY Over 100¢ $50 1h
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $683 1h
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $119 1h
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $100 1h
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $71 1h
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $2 1h
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $2 1h
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $32 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,088.31 · official $10,088.31 (match) · 517 history records