Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:29:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x609c…9d62
crypto · 1879 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$103 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$103 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$103
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses1003 / 775
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1778 / 1879
History coverage64d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day30.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1778 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$91
7 days+$198
14 days+$287
30 days+$298
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$103
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 373 +24.1% +12.2% 56% 56% +14.3%
≤30d 556 +23.8% +12.1% 61% 61% +14.6%
≤90d 1778 +4.1% -5.8% 56% 55% -7.8%
all 1778 +4.1% -5.8% 56% 55% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.8% 55% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -14.8% 54% -16.6%
15% -23.0% 51% -24.7%
20% -30.6% 43% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3105 history records