Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:13:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x608c…df44
crypto · 1541 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$346 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$346 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$346
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1136 / 405
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1541 / 1541
History coverage55d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day37.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1541 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$50
14 days−$85
30 days−$202
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$346
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 -4.9% -13.9% 78% 55% -13.5%
≤30d 606 -4.2% -13.3% 77% 54% -11.5%
≤90d 1541 -2.6% -11.8% 74% 58% -11.1%
all 1541 -2.6% -11.8% 74% 58% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 58% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 34% -19.6%
15% -28.0% 19% -27.4%
20% -35.0% 8% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records