trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +12.7% | +2.0% | 67% | 67% | -66.2% |
| all | 8 | -17.2% | -25.1% | 50% | 50% | -53.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -25.1% | 50% | -53.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -32.3% | 25% | -57.6% |
| 15% | -38.8% | 25% | -61.7% |
| 20% | -44.8% | 25% | -65.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 08 | $12,054 | −$12,000 | -100% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | May 19 | $1,000 | +$162 | +16% |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? | May 19 | $2,000 | +$2,438 | +122% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | Nov 25 | $1,366 | −$1,366 | -100% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Nov 25 | $3,000 | −$3,000 | -100% |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | Nov 25 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Nov 25 | $1,000 | +$202 | +20% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Nov 25 | $2,500 | +$2,600 | +104% |