trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Cabo Verde | 69¢ | 68¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 70¢ | 70¢ | $19 | $19 | +$0 (+1%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 | Over | 90¢ | 100¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+11%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 | Over | 66¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $8 | +$3 (+51%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Over | 61¢ | 82¢ | $5 | $7 | +$2 (+35%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $27 | $0 | −$27 (-100%) |
| Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 | Jun 12 | $30 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $16 | −$9 | -56% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $8 | +$10 | +129% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 12 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $11 | +$4 | +40% |
| Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $22 | +$9 | +41% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $20 | +$8 | +42% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 | Jun 11 | $20 | +$1 | +7% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 | Jun 11 | $20 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026? | Jun 10 | $7 | +$47 | +651% |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? | Jun 02 | $110 | +$20 | +18% |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026? | Jun 02 | $27 | −$27 | -98% |
| Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026? | Jun 02 | $57 | −$29 | -52% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +53.9% | +39.3% | 79% | 43% | +22.2% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +33.9% | +21.1% | 71% | 41% | -0.6% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +33.9% | +21.1% | 71% | 41% | -0.6% |
| all | 17 | +33.9% | +21.1% | 71% | 41% | -0.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +21.1% | 41% | -0.6% |
| 10% | +9.5% | 35% | -10.1% |
| 15% | -1.1% | 35% | -18.8% |
| 20% | -10.8% | 18% | -26.7% |