trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 25% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 25% | 0% | -10.2% |
| all | 28 | -8.5% | -17.3% | 43% | 0% | -10.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.3% | 0% | -10.7% |
| 10% | -25.2% | 0% | -19.3% |
| 15% | -32.4% | 0% | -27.1% |
| 20% | -39.0% | 0% | -34.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 04 | $84 | −$1 | -1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 31 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 30 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 29 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 29 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 29 | $34 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 27 | $3 | −$2 | -60% |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? | Jun 27 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in May 2025? | May 29 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok not endorse any candidate? | May 28 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 27 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2300 on May 27? | May 25 | $8 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Delhi Capitals win the 2025 Indian Premier League? | May 24 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship | May 20 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $9 | $0 | +6% |
| Wofford vs. Tennessee | Mar 22 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 20 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | Mar 19 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bronny score a point against the Celtics? | Mar 11 | $13 | +$1 | +6% |