Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T05:28:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
60 0x6067…d6fb crypto 42 markets active 2h ago coverage 38d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,214 (-3%) realized −$1,214 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate86%36W / 6L
Whale WR82%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,067per market
Trades / day49.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$350
7 days−$73
14 days+$409
30 days+$608
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,921
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +2.4% -7.4% 83% 42% +2.9%
≤30d 26 +4.7% -5.3% 92% 23% -0.7%
≤90d 42 +1.5% -8.1% 86% 19% -10.6%
all 42 +1.5% -8.1% 86% 19% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover49.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 19% -10.6%
10% -16.9% 5% -19.2%
15% ← realistic here -25.0% 2% -27.0%
20% -32.3% 2% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 40% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
78% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 82% (≥$1,433) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
22.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$97 vs −$900 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

38d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,214
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses36 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)42 / 42
History coverage38d
Avg bet$1,067
Trades / day49.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 42 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 20 $1,834 +$987 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 20 $3,355 −$1,514 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 19 $1,991 +$115 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 19 $532 +$62 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $341 +$54 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $602 +$84 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $2,236 +$150 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $668 +$165 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1,094 −$194 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $292 +$15 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $546 +$47 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $960 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1,800 +$160 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,433 +$21 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,734 +$112 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $930 +$60 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $910 +$70 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET May 27 $594 +$50 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET May 27 $343 +$30 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET May 27 $92 +$16 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET May 27 $466 +$19 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET May 27 $165 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET May 27 $902 +$82 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 14 $2,522 +$406 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET May 14 $1,179 +$95 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET May 14 $1,720 +$305 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET May 14 $4,176 −$1,667 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET May 14 $1,371 −$400 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET May 14 $2,744 −$1,605 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET May 14 $1,391 +$34 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 14 $810 +$72 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET May 14 $512 +$16 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET May 14 $240 +$12 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET May 14 $821 +$34 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 13 $170 +$6 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET May 13 $123 −$18 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET May 13 $1,336 +$64 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET May 13 $1,482 +$106 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET May 13 $209 +$10 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $170 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $41 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $22 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $81 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $79 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $408 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $69 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $21 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1888 history records