trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +9.0% | -1.4% | 67% | 67% | +17.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +8.1% | -2.2% | 71% | 57% | +2.4% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +8.1% | -2.2% | 75% | 44% | +1.0% |
| all | 16 | +8.1% | -2.2% | 75% | 44% | +1.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.2% | 44% | +1.0% |
| 10% | -11.6% | 19% | -8.7% |
| 15% | -20.1% | 6% | -17.5% |
| 20% | -27.9% | 6% | -25.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? | Yes | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1,000 | $1,107 | +$107 (+11%) |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | Yes | 82¢ | 98¢ | $600 | $717 | +$117 (+20%) |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | Yes | 79¢ | 97¢ | $500 | $613 | +$113 (+23%) |
| Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | $600 | $612 | +$12 (+2%) |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026? | No | 64¢ | 88¢ | $400 | $546 | +$146 (+37%) |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | Yes | 74¢ | 99¢ | $400 | $535 | +$135 (+34%) |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Yes | 27¢ | 27¢ | $100 | $100 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026? | Jun 21 | $500 | +$65 | +13% |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$4 | -38% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $400 | +$209 | +52% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | Jun 13 | $503 | +$89 | +18% |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | Jun 12 | $500 | +$70 | +14% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Jun 12 | $2,503 | +$245 | +10% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? | Jun 12 | $380 | −$43 | -11% |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? | May 15 | $300 | +$90 | +30% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | May 03 | $200 | +$23 | +12% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Apr 24 | $200 | +$11 | +6% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Apr 21 | $50 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, | Apr 19 | $200 | +$59 | +29% |
| Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17? | Apr 14 | $431 | +$24 | +6% |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Apr 10 | $300 | −$36 | -12% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Apr 10 | $300 | +$7 | +2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Apr 10 | $204 | +$6 | +3% |