Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:30:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x605d…2415
crypto · 1544 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$541 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$541 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$541
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses886 / 774
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1660 / 1544
History coverage39d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day69.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 0 History 1660 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$821
7 days−$832
14 days−$895
30 days−$512
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi win on 2026-04-27? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Tom Gentzsch Tom Gentzsch 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Tom Gentzsch Tom Gentzsch 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-22? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03? Yes 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Hornets Knicks 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Kigali 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Martin Mathys Erhard 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-05-22? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Stars vs. Wild Wild 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-25? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
76ers vs. Hornets Hornets 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-12? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi win on 2026-04-27? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-22? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Knicks vs. Hornets Jun 13 $4 −$4 -104%
Kigali 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Martin Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -105%
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Stars vs. Wild Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-25? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
76ers vs. Hornets Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-03? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-29? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-03-19? Jun 13 $1 −$3 -265%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruud Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-08? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Split: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Nerman Fatic Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Los Angeles FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-03-22? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-25? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-04-27? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Rockets vs. Bulls Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Knicks vs. Pacers Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-16? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will CA Peñarol vs. CA Platense end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Capitals vs. Utah Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-08? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk end in a draw? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -2966%
Will Alianza FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Raptors vs. Grizzlies Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-01? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Wizards vs. Jazz Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-05-01? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-11? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Miami Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Liam Draxl Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 51% +$278
sports 26% +$97
other 23% −$102
politics 0% −$2
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 2h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 3h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 610 -46.7% -51.8% 38% 25% -61.6%
≤30d 1471 -10.0% -18.6% 53% 42% -22.2%
≤90d 1660 -9.4% -18.0% 53% 43% -21.9%
all 1660 -9.4% -18.0% 53% 43% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.0% 43% -21.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 34% -29.4%
15% -33.0% 27% -36.2%
20% -39.6% 21% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records