Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:52:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x605b…ccf9
other · 127 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$108 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$108 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses7 / 119
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)126 / 127
History coverage108d
Avg bet$109
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 1 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-0%)
Magic vs. Cavaliers Magic 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers Clippers 65¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Spurs Hornets 32¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Kings vs. Nets Kings 46¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Hawks Celtics 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Pistons Lakers 53¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Nuggets Warriors 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Pistons Raptors 41¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Nets vs. Warriors Nets 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Lakers Cavaliers 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Pacers Pacers 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 11 $15 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $8 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $11 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 09 $91 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $10 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 07 $83 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $225 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 04 $83 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $9 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 04 $16 $0 -0%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 03 $113 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 01 $9 $0 -0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 01 $10 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 31 $8 $0 -0%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? May 30 $101 $0 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $16 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 29 $176 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 25 $66 $0 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 23 $68 $0 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 22 $72 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 21 $94 $0 -0%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $70 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? May 19 $87 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? May 17 $88 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $271 $0 -0%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $90 $0 -0%
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? May 13 $84 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 13 $72 $0 -0%
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $324 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $90 $0 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 11 $81 $0 -0%
Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? May 10 $74 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 10 $162 $0 -0%
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 09 $165 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? May 07 $208 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 05 $76 $0 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 04 $95 $0 -0%
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? May 03 $70 $0 -0%
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 02 $199 $0 -0%
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 02 $84 $0 -0%
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? May 01 $95 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $183 $0 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 01 $77 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 30 $93 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 30 $97 $0 -0%
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 22 $140 $0 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 21 $96 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $71 $0 -0%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 19 $89 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$8
politics 24% −$4
sports 11% −$95
crypto 5% $0
tech 4% −$1
economics 1% $0
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $15 1h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 2d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 3d
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $15 3d
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 4d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $8 4d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $8 4d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $11 4d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $11 4d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $11 5d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 5d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 6d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 6d
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $13 7d
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $13 7d
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $11 8d
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 9d
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $10 9d
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $10 9d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $9 10d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $9 10d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $16 10d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $16 11d
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $16 11d
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $16 12d
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $9 12d
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $9 13d
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $10 13d
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $10 13d
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $8 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 27 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 120 -7.3% -16.1% 3% 3% -10.4%
all 126 -6.6% -15.5% 6% 5% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.5% 5% -10.2%
10% -23.6% 3% -18.8%
15% -30.9% 2% -26.7%
20% -37.7% 1% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.99 · official $14.99 (match) · 347 history records