trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +22.3% | +10.6% | 57% | 14% | -6.7% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +10.7% | +0.1% | 43% | 7% | -7.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +10.7% | +0.1% | 43% | 7% | -7.6% |
| all | 27 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 56% | 4% | -7.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.5% | 4% | -7.8% |
| 10% | -16.4% | 4% | -16.6% |
| 15% | -24.5% | 4% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -31.9% | 4% | -32.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 47¢ | 48¢ | $55 | $55 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $47 | +$2 | +4% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $53 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $52 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $45 | +$2 | +5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $3 | $0 | -12% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 09 | $47 | +$3 | +6% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 08 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $77 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 18 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Jun 29 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | May 05 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be out as Director of National Intelligence in Trum | May 05 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador | Apr 21 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 20 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 16 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 16 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the PPC win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election? | Apr 15 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | Apr 14 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 14 | $9 | $0 | +0% |