trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 71% | 43% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +7.9% | -2.3% | 67% | 44% | -10.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +7.9% | -2.3% | 67% | 44% | -10.8% |
| all | 25 | +4.5% | -5.5% | 60% | 44% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.5% | 44% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -14.5% | 28% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -22.8% | 24% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -30.4% | 16% | -34.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | No | 85¢ | 96¢ | $208 | $233 | +$26 (+12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $199 | +$9 | +5% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $490 | −$212 | -43% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $175 | +$32 | +18% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $6,001 | +$177 | +3% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? | Jun 14 | $6 | +$7 | +124% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $15 | +$16 | +109% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $100 | +$16 | +16% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 01 | $10,005 | −$278 | -3% |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Jan 20 | $847 | +$8 | +1% |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Jan 06 | $52 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential electio | Jan 06 | $10 | +$5 | +45% |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential electi | Dec 31 | $348 | +$65 | +19% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30? | Dec 30 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-28? | Dec 28 | $10 | −$8 | -81% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28? | Dec 28 | $6 | +$14 | +244% |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27? | Dec 27 | $10 | +$5 | +51% |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22? | Dec 22 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22? | Dec 22 | $37 | +$6 | +16% |
| Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22? | Dec 22 | $35 | +$12 | +35% |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Dec 10 | $25 | +$10 | +41% |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | Dec 07 | $20 | −$4 | -22% |
| Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025? | Dec 05 | $409 | −$44 | -11% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Dec 04 | $50 | −$2 | -5% |
| Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1) | Dec 04 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |