trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 20% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 22% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 22% | 0% | -8.8% |
| all | 20 | +0.5% | -9.0% | 50% | 10% | -8.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.0% | 10% | -8.5% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -17.3% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 0% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -32.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $64 | +$1 | +1% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $32 | $0 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 25 | $28 | +$2 | +8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 25 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open? | May 25 | $1 | $0 | +15% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Momo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | -31% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May? | May 23 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | May 21 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? | May 20 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 19 | $15 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 7? | Mar 11 | $15 | $0 | +1% |