Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:40:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x603a…d63b
crypto · 1740 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1562 / 177
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1739 / 1740
History coverage24d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day79.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1739 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$11
14 days+$9
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$15
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 309 +1.1% -8.6% 82% 42% -7.9%
≤30d 1739 -0.1% -9.6% 90% 25% -9.8%
≤90d 1739 -0.1% -9.6% 90% 25% -9.8%
all 1739 -0.1% -9.6% 90% 25% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 25% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 5% -18.4%
15% -26.2% 2% -26.3%
20% -33.4% 2% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records