Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:48:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x602c…d3a2
crypto · 1802 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$619 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$616 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$616
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses539 / 1118
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1657 / 1802
History coverage86d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 6 History 1657 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$1
14 days+$24
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 68¢ 64¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 63¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 51¢ 32¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-38%)
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09? No 60¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? No 79¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? No 44¢ 20¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +270%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +117%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +41%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +67%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +45%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$498
other 12% −$117
politics 1% −$3
sports 0% +$1
world 0% +$1
economics 0% +$1
culture 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-31.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -0.4% -9.9% 59% 59% -9.6%
≤30d 826 -1.4% -10.8% 42% 42% -9.1%
≤90d 1657 -23.8% -31.1% 33% 32% -21.0%
all 1657 -23.8% -31.1% 33% 32% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.1% 32% -21.0%
10% ← realistic here -37.7% 30% -28.6%
15% -43.7% 27% -35.5%
20% -49.2% 24% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.57 · official $10.57 (match) · 3500 history records