Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:40:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x6021…8ca2
crypto · 1374 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$917 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$917 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$917
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses986 / 388
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1374 / 1374
History coverage24d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day125.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1374 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$230
7 days−$1,565
14 days−$912
30 days−$917
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$32 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $127 −$65 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $108 −$44 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $81 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$10 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$98 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $92 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $78 +$14 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $106 +$65 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $106 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $91 +$15 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $83 +$61 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $75 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $76 +$16 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $66 +$26 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$15 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $153 −$135 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$11 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$11 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $102 +$28 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$24 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $92 +$30 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$917
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $57 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $60 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $62 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $53 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $33 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $29 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $62 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $67 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $59 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $31 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 533 -21.4% -28.9% 61% 43% -19.7%
≤30d 1374 -2.2% -11.5% 72% 49% -12.2%
≤90d 1374 -2.2% -11.5% 72% 49% -12.2%
all 1374 -2.2% -11.5% 72% 49% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover125.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 49% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 26% -20.6%
15% -27.7% 14% -28.3%
20% -34.8% 8% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records