Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:01:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
60 0x601c…0990 crypto 262 markets active 3d ago coverage 33d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$86 (-5%) realized −$86 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate36%95W / 167L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day58.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$15
14 days−$48
30 days−$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$133
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -9.5% -18.1% 35% 15% -19.2%
≤30d 198 -11.5% -19.9% 33% 14% -17.8%
≤90d 262 -9.7% -18.3% 36% 12% -16.8%
all 262 -9.7% -18.3% 36% 12% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 12% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.2% 5% -24.8%
15% -33.3% 4% -32.0%
20% -39.8% 3% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
66% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.48 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.27 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

33d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses95 / 167
Open positions0
Markets (closed)262 / 262
History coverage33d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day58.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 262 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $27 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $17 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2010 history records