Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:49:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x601a…a675
sports · 108 markets active 2h ago
6.5score
+$41,654 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$41,654 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Net worth$0
Realized+$41,654
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses56 / 52
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$1,259
Open positions0
Markets (closed)108 / 108
History coverage179d
Avg bet$2,990
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$37,274
7 days+$42,286
14 days+$45,813
30 days+$45,813
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $4,678 −$4,678 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $10,683 +$53,798 +504%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $4,117 −$4,117 -100%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 12 $9,564 −$7,729 -81%
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1,839 −$435 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 08 $351 +$1,653 +470%
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 08 $2,894 −$2,541 -88%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $4,991 −$3,302 -66%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $4,991 +$2,487 +50%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $18,940 +$2,719 +14%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Jun 07 $383 −$383 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals Jun 07 $378 −$378 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Jun 07 $470 −$470 -100%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? Jun 07 $51 −$51 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Jodie Burrage vs Anna Blinkova Jun 07 $9,786 +$4,657 +48%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Canada vs USA Jun 07 $3,137 +$1,294 +41%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 07 $5,582 −$235 -4%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire Jun 06 $5,426 +$3,526 +65%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Apr 30 $777 −$727 -94%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings Apr 29 $194 −$194 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? Apr 29 $366 −$366 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Gi Apr 15 $345 +$21 +6%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders Apr 14 $155 +$191 +123%
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmen Apr 14 $1,167 −$1,167 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Mar 25 $185 −$185 -100%
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula Mar 25 $2,555 −$1,275 -50%
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev Mar 24 $888 −$888 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Mar 23 $110 +$403 +368%
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? Mar 23 $199 −$90 -45%
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa Mar 22 $3,168 −$2,064 -65%
Miami Open: Rei Sakamoto vs Daniil Medvedev Mar 22 $2,452 +$1,696 +69%
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Cameron Norrie Mar 21 $2,566 +$1,371 +54%
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinn Mar 21 $3,119 −$3,119 -100%
Miami Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rei Sakamoto Mar 20 $7,952 −$949 -12%
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Alex Molcan Mar 20 $1,987 −$1,987 -100%
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Arthur Gea Mar 20 $1,500 +$2,568 +171%
Zadar: Duje Ajdukovic vs Matej Dodig Mar 20 $1,947 +$1,541 +79%
Zadar: Martin Krumich vs Matej Dodig Mar 18 $2,239 −$1,117 -50%
Zadar: Jonas Forejtek vs Andrej Nedic Mar 18 $895 +$223 +25%
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa Mar 18 $1,392 −$1,392 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15? Mar 16 $316 −$316 -100%
Netanyahu out by March 31? Mar 15 $358 −$43 -12%
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa Mar 15 $1,254 −$1,254 -100%
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Mar 15 $8,596 −$8,596 -100%
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner Mar 14 $8,924 +$1,216 +14%
Santiago: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Henrique Rocha Mar 14 $2,137 −$2,137 -100%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan Mar 13 $4,655 −$3,509 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12PM ET Mar 13 $399 +$405 +102%
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Jannik Sinner Mar 13 $3,597 +$313 +9%
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverev Mar 12 $2,196 +$1,400 +64%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% +$42,559
other 8% +$170
crypto 6% −$1,075
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand SELL West Indies 100¢ $64,481 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 18¢ $572 3h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 18¢ $410 3h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 18¢ $1,004 3h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 18¢ $495 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 16¢ $1,025 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 16¢ $1,025 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 16¢ $1,025 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 15¢ $1,025 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 16¢ $1,025 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 15¢ $1,026 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 18¢ $1,025 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 14¢ $1,026 4h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa $1,961 7h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa $1,010 7h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 10¢ $680 7h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 10¢ $1,027 7h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 50¢ $2,002 4d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 50¢ $812 4d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 64¢ $4,747 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $7 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $2,706 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $263 5d
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? SELL Yes 21¢ $261 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $1,140 5d
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? SELL Yes 32¢ $1,143 5d
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 37¢ $127 5d
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 37¢ $1,528 5d
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 37¢ $183 5d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 58¢ $1,836 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +15.6% +4.6% 35% 35% +36.7%
≤30d 18 +18.3% +7.0% 39% 39% +37.4%
≤90d 41 +0.2% -9.3% 37% 34% +18.0%
all 108 +0.8% -8.8% 52% 43% +2.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 43% +2.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 33% -7.6%
15% -25.5% 28% -16.6%
20% -32.8% 21% -24.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 478 history records