Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:38:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x6013…07f1
sports · 54 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$103 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$103 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$103
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses14 / 39
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)53 / 54
History coverage596d
Avg bet$339
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 1 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 12 $6 $0 -0%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 08 $3 $0 -0%
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May? Jun 06 $10 $0 +0%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi May 28 $10 $0 -0%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 27 $10 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 26 $55 $0 -0%
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 22 $10 $0 -0%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees May 22 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $51 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $10 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju May 19 $10 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 May 18 $38 $0 -0%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 13 $43 $0 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? May 08 $44 $0 -0%
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 07 $43 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? May 06 $44 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3? May 06 $16 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4? May 06 $17 $0 +0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 30 $42 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $45 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m Apr 21 $44 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 20 $80 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 19 $44 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $34 $0 -0%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Sabres vs. Rangers Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Oilers vs. Utah Apr 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Predators vs. Kings Apr 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Apr 07 $11 +$3 +29%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-02? Apr 06 $10 +$6 +55%
Suns vs. Hornets Apr 06 $13 +$6 +50%
Blues vs. Kings Apr 02 $14 −$14 -100%
Maple Leafs vs. Blues Apr 02 $23 −$23 -100%
Raptors vs. Clippers Apr 02 $29 −$29 -100%
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? Apr 01 $24 $0 +1%
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Apr 01 $21 +$8 +40%
Nuggets vs. Suns Mar 27 $21 +$11 +49%
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers Mar 24 $17 +$5 +31%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m Mar 24 $47 $0 +0%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap Mar 06 $4 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $170 in February? Mar 06 $89 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? Feb 13 $89 $0 +0%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 07 $13,535 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 11 $12 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 18 $43 −$2 -5%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 29 $18 $0 -1%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 09 $47 −$1 -2%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $287 −$3 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 75% −$14
politics 19% −$13
other 3% −$2
sports 1% −$74
crypto 1% +$1
world 0% $0
culture 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $5 1h
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $6 7h
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $3 4d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $3 6d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi SELL No 99¢ $10 15d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi BUY No 100¢ $10 15d
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May? BUY No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? SELL No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY No 100¢ $10 17d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $11 20d
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $10 21d
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $10 21d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 22d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 22d
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 60¢ $0 22d
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 60¢ $7 22d
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 60¢ $4 22d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju SELL No 100¢ $10 24d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju BUY No 100¢ $10 24d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 SELL No 100¢ $38 25d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 BUY No 100¢ $38 25d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 55¢ $7 28d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $43 30d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $43 30d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL No 100¢ $45 32d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY No 100¢ $45 32d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.1% -9.7% 33% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 13 -15.5% -23.5% 8% 0% -16.9%
≤90d 41 -18.2% -26.0% 27% 15% -16.2%
all 53 -14.3% -22.4% 26% 11% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.4% 11% -10.0%
10% -29.9% 11% -18.6%
15% -36.6% 8% -26.5%
20% -42.8% 2% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.84 · official $10.84 (match) · 262 history records