Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:44:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x600f…0c61
crypto · 1409 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,779 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,779 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,779
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses847 / 817
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1664 / 1409
History coverage100d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day28.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1664 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,563
7 days−$1,501
14 days−$1,692
30 days−$1,581
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - February 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$13 -233%
XRP Up or Down - February 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$231
other 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? SELL Down 32¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 50¢ $50 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 42¢ $114 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 37¢ $104 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Down 40¢ $20 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Down 40¢ $40 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Down 40¢ $16 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Down 40¢ $20 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Down 40¢ $18 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 35¢ $105 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 38¢ $81 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 38¢ $32 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 34¢ $105 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 85¢ $358 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 94¢ $402 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-25.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 289 -94.5% -95.0% 4% 1% -43.0%
≤30d 457 -59.5% -63.4% 21% 18% -31.8%
≤90d 1543 -18.2% -26.0% 49% 32% -14.7%
all 1664 -17.2% -25.0% 51% 29% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.0% 29% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -32.2% 28% -22.2%
15% -38.8% 28% -29.7%
20% -44.8% 27% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records