Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:47:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x600d…b5ce
crypto · 95 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$85 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$81 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$68
Realized+$81
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses41 / 49
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions5
Markets (closed)90 / 95
History coverage28d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 5 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$34
14 days+$10
30 days+$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $22 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 23¢ 36¢ $9 $14 +$5 (+54%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 37¢ 40¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+9%)
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? No 58¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $20 +$10 +52%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $5 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $11 +$9 +76%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $11 +$9 +79%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$5 +105%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $9 +$16 +172%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$12 +114%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $9 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 02 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $3 +$3 +109%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $20 +$9 +46%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 02 $17 −$6 -36%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $4 +$5 +124%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $11 +$10 +90%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St Jun 02 $25 −$25 -99%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 24 $7 +$5 +63%
Valencia vs. Real Madrid May 22 $24 −$23 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 19 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 19 $23 −$14 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 19 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 19 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 19 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 19 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 19 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 19 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET May 19 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 19 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 19 $3 +$7 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET May 18 $13 +$8 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 18 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET May 18 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET May 18 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 18 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 18 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 18 $3 +$7 +211%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET May 18 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET May 18 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 18 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET May 18 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 42% −$7
other 37% +$111
crypto 21% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 37¢ $11 30m
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $22 1h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 34¢ $21 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 11¢ $2 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 65¢ $13 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 65¢ $7 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $4 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 38¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 26¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 38¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 19¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 45¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 56¢ $11 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 55¢ $11 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 34¢ $7 4d
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 5d
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 5d
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $9 6d
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 6d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY FUT Esports 48¢ $5 6d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 36¢ $9 6d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 46¢ $10 6d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL TYLOO 52¢ $10 9d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY TYLOO 47¢ $1 9d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY TYLOO 47¢ $8 9d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Liquid 4¢ $1 10d
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Heroic 62¢ $6 10d
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Lynn Vision 32¢ $13 10d
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Lynn Vision 28¢ $11 10d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St BUY MIBR 35¢ $5 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -14.3% -22.5% 43% 43% +23.5%
≤30d 90 -7.0% -15.9% 46% 43% +2.7%
≤90d 90 -7.0% -15.9% 46% 43% +2.7%
all 90 -7.0% -15.9% 46% 43% +2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.9% 43% +2.7%
10% -23.9% 40% -7.1%
15% -31.3% 36% -16.1%
20% -38.0% 30% -24.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $68.10 · official $68.10 (match) · 219 history records