Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:07:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
60 0x600a…0e9f crypto 34 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (125 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$77 (-2%) realized −$77 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate62%21W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$113per market
Trades / day125.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$170
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (125 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -0.3% -9.8% 62% 41% -13.5%
≤30d 34 -0.3% -9.8% 62% 41% -13.5%
≤90d 34 -0.3% -9.8% 62% 41% -13.5%
all 34 -0.3% -9.8% 62% 41% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover125.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 41% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 35% -21.8%
15% -26.3% 21% -29.4%
20% -33.6% 18% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 33% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
29% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$32 vs −$65 · ×0.49 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$77
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses21 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage1d
Avg bet$113
Trades / day125.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 34 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $71 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $60 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $103 −$92 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$16 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $41 −$11 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$24 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $92 −$66 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $113 +$37 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $144 −$85 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $103 −$33 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $91 +$76 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $103 −$40 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $102 +$31 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $296 −$134 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $202 +$33 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $103 +$65 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $101 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $202 −$46 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $303 −$53 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $204 +$70 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $205 +$126 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $175 −$36 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $102 +$38 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $104 +$96 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$11 +35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $78 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $71 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $47 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $92 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $85 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $61 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $65 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $43 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 134 history records