Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:15:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x6000…f302
world · 19 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$40,177 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$556 · open +$23,984
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY world specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,296,863
Realized+$556
Unrealized+$23,984
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Open positions17
Markets (closed)2 / 19
History coverage2d
Avg bet$71,692
Trades / day333.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 17 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$556
7 days+$556
14 days+$556
30 days+$556
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 93¢ 94¢ $701,607 $704,137 +$2,529 (+0%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? No 92¢ 100¢ $339,319 $368,749 +$29,430 (+9%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 82¢ 78¢ $77,546 $73,144 −$4,402 (-6%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 80¢ 75¢ $52,199 $48,654 −$3,546 (-7%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $26,746 $26,938 +$193 (+1%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No 98¢ 98¢ $22,148 $22,140 −$8 (-0%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? No 99¢ 99¢ $20,338 $20,323 −$15 (-0%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 92¢ 92¢ $12,698 $12,652 −$46 (-0%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 No 60¢ 64¢ $5,967 $6,350 +$383 (+6%)
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 83¢ 80¢ $4,166 $4,016 −$150 (-4%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 77¢ 76¢ $3,850 $3,775 −$75 (-2%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? No 63¢ 57¢ $3,150 $2,875 −$275 (-9%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? No 90¢ 90¢ $1,978 $1,989 +$11 (+1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Yes 89¢ 90¢ $890 $895 +$5 (+1%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? No 67¢ 51¢ $212 $162 −$49 (-23%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 6¢ $59 $57 −$1 (-3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? No 64¢ 58¢ $6 $6 −$1 (-9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $834 +$166 +20%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $9,610 +$390 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 98% +$24,178
finance 2% +$193
other 0% +$169
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $134 9m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $6,010 9m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $757 18m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $4,985 22m
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $929 30m
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? BUY No 90¢ $90 30m
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $63 31m
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? BUY No 90¢ $37 40m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $0 42m
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? BUY No 90¢ $45 43m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5,043 44m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $200 47m
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? BUY No 90¢ $4 52m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $0 56m
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? BUY No 90¢ $18 58m
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? BUY No 90¢ $45 1h
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $3,917 1h
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $78 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $15 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $204 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $408 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $11 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $0 2h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? BUY No 90¢ $90 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $0 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $0 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $0 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +12.0% +1.3% 100% 50% -4.7%
≤30d 2 +12.0% +1.3% 100% 50% -4.7%
≤90d 2 +12.0% +1.3% 100% 50% -4.7%
all 2 +12.0% +1.3% 100% 50% -4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover333.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.3% 50% -4.7%
10% -8.4% 0% -13.8%
15% ← realistic here -17.2% 0% -22.2%
20% -25.4% 0% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,296,862.58 · official $1,296,862.58 (match) · 785 history records