Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:09:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5ffb…1b74
crypto · 475 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,472 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,472 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$626
Realized−$2,472
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses247 / 468
Open positions0
Markets (closed)715 / 475
History coverage11d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day278.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 715 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,465
7 days−$2,546
14 days−$2,472
30 days−$2,472
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $103 $114 +$11 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 87¢ 100¢ $63 $73 +$10 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 3¢ 100¢ $2 $62 +$60 (+2881%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $48 $50 +$2 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $35 $40 +$5 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $34 $40 +$6 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $37 $40 +$2 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $28 $30 +$2 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $15 $27 +$12 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 87¢ 100¢ $17 $20 +$2 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $18 $20 +$2 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $14 $20 +$6 (+38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $15 $20 +$5 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 83¢ 100¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 43¢ 100¢ $4 $10 +$6 (+133%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$97
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $16 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $12 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $16 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $7 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-45.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 409 -66.6% -69.8% 21% 11% -39.9%
≤30d 715 -40.2% -45.9% 35% 18% -22.5%
≤90d 715 -40.2% -45.9% 35% 18% -22.5%
all 715 -40.2% -45.9% 35% 18% -22.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover278.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.9% 18% -22.5%
10% ← realistic here -51.1% 9% -29.9%
15% -55.8% 5% -36.7%
20% -60.1% 3% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $625.98 · official $625.98 (match) · 3500 history records