trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | +8.7% | -1.7% | 30% | 25% | -20.8% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +8.7% | -1.7% | 30% | 25% | -20.8% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +8.7% | -1.7% | 30% | 25% | -20.8% |
| all | 20 | +8.7% | -1.7% | 30% | 25% | -20.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.7% | 25% | -20.8% |
| 10% | -11.1% | 25% | -28.4% |
| 15% | -19.7% | 25% | -35.3% |
| 20% | -27.6% | 20% | -41.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 38¢ | 55¢ | $99 | $143 | +$44 (+45%) |
| Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $89 | $91 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $88 | $90 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90¢ | 87¢ | $90 | $87 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 35¢ | 36¢ | $23 | $24 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $19 | $19 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $16 | $16 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $251 | −$8 | -3% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $90 | −$90 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $28 | +$94 | +335% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $68 | −$68 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $152 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $88 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $103 | −$16 | -16% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $94 | −$93 | -98% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$10 | -9% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $208 | −$206 | -99% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $54 | +$246 | +456% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $121 | +$155 | +128% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $91 | +$126 | +139% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $31 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $202 | +$88 | +44% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 11 | $102 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 11 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |