Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:15:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5feb…89a5
crypto · 34 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$1 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$31
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses12 / 21
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)33 / 34
Avg bet$4
Trades / day14.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 66¢ 81¢ $25 $31 +$6 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +45%
Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 3-1 through 4 games? Jun 11 $11 +$9 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$6 +526%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: Team to Score First Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$7
sports 30% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-28.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -21.3% -28.8% 36% 36% -14.5%
≤30d 33 -21.3% -28.8% 36% 36% -14.5%
≤90d 33 -21.3% -28.8% 36% 36% -14.5%
all 33 -21.3% -28.8% 36% 36% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.8% 36% -14.5%
10% -35.6% 36% -22.7%
15% -41.8% 33% -30.2%
20% -47.5% 24% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.23 · official $31.27 (match) · 77 history records