trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +5.5% | -4.6% | 73% | 60% | +9.7% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +5.5% | -4.6% | 73% | 60% | +9.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +5.5% | -4.6% | 73% | 60% | +9.7% |
| all | 15 | +5.5% | -4.6% | 73% | 60% | +9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.6% | 60% | +9.7% |
| 10% | -13.7% | 53% | -0.8% |
| 15% | -22.0% | 27% | -10.4% |
| 20% | -29.7% | 13% | -19.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 49¢ | 46¢ | $210 | $199 | −$11 (-5%) |
| Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 70¢ | 81¢ | $120 | $140 | +$20 (+17%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $100 | $108 | +$8 (+8%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $100 | $76 | −$24 (-24%) |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Brazil | 74¢ | 74¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 67¢ | 72¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+8%) |
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 54¢ | 44¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-19%) |
| Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 56¢ | 14¢ | $20 | $5 | −$15 (-75%) |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Brazil | 53¢ | 52¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$1 | +13% |
| Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA Worl | Jun 19 | $20 | +$6 | +28% |
| Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $20 | +$6 | +32% |
| Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 18 | $101 | +$35 | +35% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +47% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 | Jun 16 | $5 | +$1 | +26% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$9 | +90% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$7 | -14% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$6 | +62% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +4% |