Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:03:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5fc0…efae
crypto · 1174 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$256 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$256 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$256
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses648 / 523
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1171 / 1174
History coverage33d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day54.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 1171 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$37
7 days−$53
14 days−$148
30 days−$278
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? No 91¢ 90¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? No 80¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? No 31¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May? No 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026? Yes 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 5? No 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$10 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +144%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +152%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$215
other 5% −$22
tech 2% −$4
finance 2% −$2
politics 1% −$12
sports 1% +$2
world 0% +$2
economics 0% −$4
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $4 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 360 -3.9% -13.0% 43% 35% -12.2%
≤30d 1007 -5.4% -14.4% 51% 34% -14.3%
≤90d 1171 -3.9% -13.0% 55% 38% -13.3%
all 1171 -3.9% -13.0% 55% 38% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 38% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 21% -21.6%
15% -28.9% 13% -29.2%
20% -35.9% 9% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.91 · official $3.91 (match) · 2648 history records