Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5fb3…e7a0
sports · 362 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$29 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses174 / 187
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions1
Markets (closed)361 / 362
History coverage145d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 1 History 361 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$18
14 days+$18
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Timberwolves 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Raptors 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
76ers vs. Knicks 76ers 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +110%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $6 +$3 +57%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $1 +$3 +474%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 +$12 +596%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $7 +$7 +105%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 −$6 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $7 −$6 -99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 12 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 11 $16 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 11 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 11 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 11 $30 −$29 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 11 $21 +$12 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 11 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 11 $30 +$20 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 11 $18 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 11 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 11 $21 +$16 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 11 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET May 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 11 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 11 $21 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET May 11 $21 +$44 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET May 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET May 11 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET May 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET May 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET May 11 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET May 11 $14 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 11 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 11 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 11 $10 +$16 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET May 11 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 11 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 11 $8 +$5 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves May 11 $7 +$10 +140%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves May 09 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 08 $7 −$7 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 45% −$63
sports 37% +$42
other 17% +$12
world 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 17¢ $1 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $6 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 30h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 30h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 30h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $6 30h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 61¢ $7 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $7 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $7 2d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) SELL Bigetron by Vitality 100¢ $8 2d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) BUY Bigetron by Vitality 59¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $16 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $41 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $42 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $30 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $21 34d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +63.7% +48.1% 65% 65% +4.9%
≤30d 17 +63.7% +48.1% 65% 65% +4.9%
≤90d 331 +2.3% -7.4% 47% 47% -9.6%
all 361 +1.1% -8.6% 48% 48% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.6% 48% -9.8%
10% -17.3% 46% -18.5%
15% -25.3% 43% -26.3%
20% -32.6% 37% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.90 · official $9.90 (match) · 745 history records