Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:56:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5fa9…a36d
sports · 1020 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8,844 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,852 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$62
Realized−$8,852
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses398 / 619
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$301
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1017 / 1020
History coverage217d
Avg bet$335
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 1 History 1017 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days−$573
14 days−$1,703
30 days−$897
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team WE 37¢ 43¢ $54 $62 +$8 (+15%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 16¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 Yes 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs GIANTX 29¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner EDward Gaming 18¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 37¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs LGD Gaming 14¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner FENNEL 4¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Iceland 43¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 37¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 15¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5 No 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming Junior 17¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group A CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 43¢ 0¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner GIANTX 48¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 42¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming Junior 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $19 +$36 +190%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $159 −$157 -98%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $92 −$90 -98%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $105 +$167 +158%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $105 +$1 +1%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 11 $55 +$50 +90%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $203 −$163 -80%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $204 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $52 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -96%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $19 −$18 -97%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $113 +$54 +48%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $27 +$26 +96%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $126 −$124 -98%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $54 −$53 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $35 −$28 -81%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $14 −$14 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $50 −$48 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 03 $19 −$17 -94%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 03 $165 −$147 -89%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $1,333 −$868 -65%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $1,013 −$988 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 01 $29 −$28 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $34 −$33 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $56 +$140 +250%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $31 +$100 +325%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $56 +$295 +522%
Will United States win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $20 +$32 +158%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $51 +$105 +206%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $46 +$61 +134%
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $25 +$22 +86%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $52 +$54 +105%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $51 +$56 +109%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $227 +$293 +129%
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $10 −$6 -58%
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $25 −$18 -70%
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 3.5 May 31 $5 −$4 -72%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 31 $142 −$140 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $54 −$53 -98%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $31 −$30 -98%
Mexico vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 May 31 $5 +$3 +50%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $16 −$16 -98%
Will Australia win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $10 −$9 -87%
Spread: Thunder (-3.5) May 31 $34 +$32 +93%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 May 31 $20 +$18 +89%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 May 30 $20 −$20 -99%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5 May 30 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $51 +$176 +344%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% +$15,313
other 44% −$23,712
world 1% +$351
crypto 1% −$784
politics 0% −$1
culture 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 42¢ $30 27m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 33¢ $26 28m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 100¢ $55 30m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 48¢ $13 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 20¢ $6 1h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) AND Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Australia vs. Türk BUY 2¢ $15 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 AN BUY 15¢ $0 27h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 43¢ $159 2d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming Junior 17¢ $51 2d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming Junior 18¢ $41 2d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming Junior 10¢ $10 2d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming Junior 10¢ $10 2d
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner SELL Saigon Warriors 100¢ $272 2d
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner BUY Saigon Warriors 38¢ $105 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 SELL Under 74¢ $106 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Under 72¢ $105 2d
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) SELL Spurs 93¢ $105 2d
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) BUY Spurs 48¢ $55 2d
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 Ares 7¢ $21 2d
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 Ares 15¢ $19 2d
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Ares 45¢ $203 2d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $204 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $52 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 3d
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner BUY FENNEL 4¢ $19 3d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner SELL Saigon Dino 50¢ $167 3d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C SELL Saigon Dino 50¢ $52 3d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner BUY Saigon Dino 36¢ $62 3d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C BUY Saigon Dino 25¢ $27 3d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner BUY Saigon Dino 30¢ $51 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -29.2% -35.9% 35% 29% -47.4%
≤30d 89 +3.9% -6.0% 35% 34% -20.1%
≤90d 245 -9.8% -18.4% 34% 33% -28.1%
all 1017 +0.1% -9.4% 39% 38% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 38% -11.9%
10% -18.1% 37% -20.3%
15% -26.0% 35% -28.0%
20% -33.2% 32% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62.27 · official $77.67 · 2774 history records