Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:37:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5fa2…6df9
sports · 72 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$344 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$351 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$201
Realized−$351
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses31 / 39
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$218
Open positions2
Markets (closed)70 / 72
History coverage15d
Avg bet$187
Trades / day13.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$293
7 days−$1,913
14 days−$384
30 days−$351
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 24¢ 24¢ $172 $176 +$4 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs Misa Esports 42¢ 50¢ $21 $25 +$4 (+19%)
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Paris Gentle Mates 54¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Partizan 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Modo Serio (BO3) - The International South America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Modo Serio 19¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Minkens finest 12¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 12 $135 −$135 -100%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs DragonClaw (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championsh Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Reci Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - FRAG T Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 12 $138 −$10 -8%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $436 −$436 -100%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $61 −$56 -92%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Modo Serio (BO3) - The International South America O Jun 12 $121 −$118 -98%
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Jun 12 $53 −$52 -97%
Lyon (Doubles): Arias/Ingildsen vs Isaro/Poonacha Jun 12 $463 +$598 +129%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $844 +$44 +5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $197 +$123 +62%
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur Jun 10 $102 +$194 +190%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $260 +$204 +79%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 10 $78 −$78 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BIG Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $81 −$81 -100%
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs Ghost Gaming GC (BO3) - VCT Game C Jun 10 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs VENOM ESPOR (BO3) - TESFED League Jun 10 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Group B Jun 10 $29 −$29 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $122 −$122 -100%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Jun 10 $62 −$62 -100%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoff Jun 10 $82 −$82 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $1,258 −$1,258 -100%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $15 +$28 +186%
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Group D Jun 09 $97 −$97 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $202 −$202 -100%
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs AaB Bulls (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Sta Jun 09 $82 −$82 -100%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Serie Jun 09 $114 −$114 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Clo Jun 09 $243 −$243 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 09 $303 −$303 -100%
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 09 $357 −$357 -100%
Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5) Jun 09 $237 −$237 -100%
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Nicholas Ionel vs Daniil Sarksian Jun 09 $611 −$611 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $996 +$474 +48%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 09 $100 +$41 +41%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Jun 08 $431 +$903 +210%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $91 +$34 +38%
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Banger Gang (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eu Jun 08 $51 +$36 +70%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $136 +$18 +14%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $136 +$82 +60%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $75 +$62 +82%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 08 $64 +$14 +21%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Pla Jun 06 $223 +$131 +59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$344
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 23¢ $5 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 24¢ $422 1h
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED Leagu BUY Misa Esports 42¢ $21 2h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 24¢ $614 2h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Paris Gentle Mates 54¢ $113 17h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Paris Gentle Mates 54¢ $22 17h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ SELL Donstu Esports 3¢ $5 18h
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BUY Partizan 47¢ $5 18h
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Modo Serio (BO3) - The International South America O BUY Modo Serio 19¢ $121 19h
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Minkens finest 13¢ $2 21h
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Minkens finest 13¢ $7 21h
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Minkens finest 12¢ $44 21h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY Donstu Esports 41¢ $61 21h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $118 31h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $4 31h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $2 31h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $2 31h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $9 31h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $48 35h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $55 35h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $42 35h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $1 36h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $4 36h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $2 36h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $2 36h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 37¢ $20 36h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 41¢ $31 36h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 41¢ $102 36h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 31¢ $2 37h
Lyon (Doubles): Arias/Ingildsen vs Isaro/Poonacha BUY Isaro/Poonacha 42¢ $35 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 -38.3% -44.2% 33% 31% -26.5%
≤30d 70 -9.0% -17.7% 44% 41% -12.0%
≤90d 70 -9.0% -17.7% 44% 41% -12.0%
all 70 -9.0% -17.7% 44% 41% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.7% 41% -12.0%
10% -25.6% 39% -20.4%
15% -32.7% 34% -28.1%
20% -39.3% 30% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $200.86 · official $191.93 · 252 history records