trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 50% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 50% | 12% | -8.1% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 43% | 7% | -9.0% |
| all | 23 | -1.8% | -11.2% | 57% | 4% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 4% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 4% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -27.4% | 4% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 24 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Jun 23 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $48 | +$1 | +3% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 27 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 26 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $7 | +$3 | +45% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 25 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 24 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 21 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 21 | $55 | −$5 | -10% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 19 | $45 | +$3 | +7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 18 | $51 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 20? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | May 16 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next C | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 28 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League? | Mar 27 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 22 | $13 | $0 | +0% |