trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 71% | 35% | -55.8% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 68% | 37% | -55.7% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 68% | 37% | -55.7% |
| all | 19 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 68% | 37% | -55.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.4% | 37% | -55.7% |
| 10% | -20.8% | 26% | -60.0% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 16% | -63.8% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 11% | -67.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? | Yes | 94¢ | 95¢ | $56 | $57 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $48 | $48 | −$0 (-0%) |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $38 | $38 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 91¢ | 92¢ | $36 | $37 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 11¢ | $37 | $33 | −$4 (-12%) |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 88¢ | 88¢ | $14 | $14 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-13%) |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 61¢ | 61¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 24¢ | 18¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-27%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$13 | -91% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $11 | +$2 | +19% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $9 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switz | Jun 15 | $4 | +$1 | +32% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $18 | −$11 | -60% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $24 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$2 | +57% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$1 | +29% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $198 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $4 | +$1 | +14% |
| BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +42% |
| BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou | Jun 11 | $81 | −$1 | -1% |
| BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Jun 10 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 10 | $914 | −$651 | -71% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | Jun 06 | $1 | +$1 | +50% |