Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:54:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f8b…1093
crypto · 373 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$451 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$516 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$516
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses265 / 106
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions2
Markets (closed)371 / 373
History coverage38d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day15.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 371 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$190
7 days−$190
14 days−$190
30 days−$190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 40¢ 22¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Martin Krumich Martin Krumich 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$333
sports 11% −$187
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 -8.6% -17.3% 48% 48% -53.3%
≤30d 82 -8.6% -17.3% 48% 48% -53.3%
≤90d 371 -7.2% -16.0% 71% 29% -16.4%
all 371 -7.2% -16.0% 71% 29% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.0% 29% -16.4%
10% -24.0% 19% -24.4%
15% -31.4% 15% -31.7%
20% -38.1% 13% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.43 · official $1.43 (match) · 928 history records