Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:56:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f87…e914
crypto · 1375 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$78 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$78 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1173 / 202
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1375 / 1375
History coverage50d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day33.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1375 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$60
14 days+$60
30 days−$101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$78
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 884 +1.0% -8.6% 80% 54% -8.8%
≤30d 1230 -0.0% -9.6% 84% 40% -10.1%
≤90d 1375 -0.1% -9.6% 85% 35% -9.8%
all 1375 -0.1% -9.6% 85% 35% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 35% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 16% -18.4%
15% -26.1% 11% -26.3%
20% -33.4% 8% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2897 history records