Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:34:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f75…c27d
crypto · 470 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$84 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses185 / 284
Open positions1
Markets (closed)469 / 470
History coverage9d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day136.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 469 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$60
14 days−$86
30 days−$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 3¢ 8¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+150%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$49 +726%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$59 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$43 +674%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$25 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$65 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$15 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $7 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $7 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 454 -7.0% -15.9% 41% 34% -10.6%
≤30d 469 -8.6% -17.3% 39% 33% -11.1%
≤90d 469 -8.6% -17.3% 39% 33% -11.1%
all 469 -8.6% -17.3% 39% 33% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover136.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 33% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 30% -19.6%
15% -32.5% 23% -27.3%
20% -39.1% 18% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.07 · official $7.39 · 1546 history records