Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:33:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f6d…976f
crypto · 1573 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$667 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$550 · open −$117
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$83
Realized−$550
Unrealized−$117
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1382 / 187
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1569 / 1573
History coverage3d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day584.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 4 History 1569 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$378
7 days−$550
14 days−$550
30 days−$550
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 99¢ 46¢ $70 $32 −$38 (-54%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 98¢ 54¢ $50 $27 −$23 (-46%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 99¢ 32¢ $50 $16 −$34 (-67%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 99¢ 24¢ $30 $7 −$23 (-76%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $70 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $70 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$8 -13%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$7 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$6 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$2 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$6 -11%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$10 -12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$6 -11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$10 -12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$7 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$6 -11%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$10 -12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$2 -5%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$7 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $69 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $70 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$3 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $69 +$2 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$527
other 23% −$140
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 0m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $70 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $8 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $70 9m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 10m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 10m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 10m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 10m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $70 10m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $8 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $49 14m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $49 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $8 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $7 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 24m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $49 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $69 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $48 25m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $48 25m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1569 +0.1% -9.4% 88% 1% -10.2%
≤30d 1569 +0.1% -9.4% 88% 1% -10.2%
≤90d 1569 +0.1% -9.4% 88% 1% -10.2%
all 1569 +0.1% -9.4% 88% 1% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover584.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 1% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -18.8%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $82.72 · official $64.34 · 3500 history records