Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:00:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f65…2a00
crypto · 143 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$23,823 +45%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23,720 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$3,984
Realized+$23,720
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses307 / 235
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Open positions24
Markets (closed)542 / 143
History coverage3d
Avg bet$373
Trades / day882.6
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 24 History 542 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20,932
7 days+$23,720
14 days+$23,720
30 days+$23,720
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $2,268 $2,280 +$12 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? No 97¢ 99¢ $1,397 $1,421 +$24 (+2%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 13? No 100¢ 99¢ $64 $63 −$1 (-1%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 13? Yes 92¢ 94¢ $49 $50 +$1 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? Yes $57 $43 −$14 (-25%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? No $21 $24 +$3 (+15%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? No 92¢ 98¢ $17 $19 +$1 (+7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 13? Yes $26 $9 −$17 (-64%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 13? No 98¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 13? No 92¢ 95¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? No 89¢ 96¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+8%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 13? No $4 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? Yes $6 $2 −$4 (-63%)
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 12? No 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? No 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-38%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-76%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13? Yes $0 $0 −$0 (-7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? No $0 $0 −$0 (-65%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 13? Yes $0 $0 −$0 (-21%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 13? Yes $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 13? Yes $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17? Jun 12 $452 +$150 +33%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9? Jun 12 $49 +$385 +781%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 4? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 17? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24? Jun 12 $8 +$8 +110%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26? Jun 12 $5 +$69 +1426%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20? Jun 12 $0 +$181 +107078%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25? Jun 12 $483 −$483 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28? Jun 12 $0 +$18 +4949%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 3? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18? Jun 12 $0 +$361 +477780%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 22? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? Jun 12 $12 +$284 +2288%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 31? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +1120%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 23? Jun 12 $0 +$10 +4807%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 1? Jun 12 $0 +$294 +496036%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 23? Jun 12 $272 −$102 -37%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1? Jun 12 $3 +$133 +5016%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 8? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 1? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 14? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 12 $291 −$259 -89%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 7? Jun 12 $0 +$31 +203664%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11? Jun 12 $7 +$142 +2164%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 6? Jun 12 $12 +$307 +2470%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? Jun 12 $22 +$407 +1867%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 9? Jun 12 $28 +$50 +181%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 6? Jun 12 $0 +$12 +3148%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 4? Jun 12 $1 +$18 +3034%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 1? Jun 12 $9 +$53 +577%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 13? Jun 12 $10 −$5 -47%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 23? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +240%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 3? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 3? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11? Jun 12 $1 +$17 +1641%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 4? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 12 $0 +$6 +104408%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 26? Jun 12 $302 −$352 -116%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 4? Jun 12 $2 +$8 +467%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18? Jun 12 $101 −$49 -48%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 8? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 15? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4,877
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $12 13m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY No $0 13m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes $0 13m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY No $0 42m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes $0 42m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 96¢ $14 42m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $44 54m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? BUY No $0 54m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes $0 54m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 96¢ $480 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes $11 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY No $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 96¢ $342 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY No $3 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes $8 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY No $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $98 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes $2 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY No $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $10 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY No $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY No $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY No $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $16 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $19 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+564.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 542 +634.5% +564.5% 57% 49% -7.1%
≤30d 542 +634.5% +564.5% 57% 49% -7.1%
≤90d 542 +634.5% +564.5% 57% 49% -7.1%
all 542 +634.5% +564.5% 57% 49% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover882.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +564.5% 49% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here +500.9% 48% -16.0%
15% +442.9% 47% -24.1%
20% +389.7% 46% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,984.24 · official $3,987.25 (match) · 3500 history records