Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:46:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f65…2036
sports · 98 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$172,918 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$176,989 · open −$14,561
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38,425
Realized−$176,989
Unrealized−$14,561
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses35 / 61
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$31,277
Open positions2
Markets (closed)96 / 98
History coverage11d
Avg bet$21,709
Trades / day29.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 2 History 96 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$63,827
7 days+$75,833
14 days−$176,989
30 days−$176,989
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Lorenzo Sonego 67¢ 62¢ $28,000 $25,750 −$2,250 (-8%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Yue Yuan 25¢ 12¢ $24,986 $12,675 −$12,311 (-49%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Maddison Inglis 18¢ 0¢ $10,000 $0 −$10,000 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 44¢ 0¢ $31,000 $0 −$31,000 (-100%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $25,000 $0 −$25,000 (-100%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Veronika Erjavec 27¢ 0¢ $29,670 $0 −$29,670 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 52¢ 0¢ $15,000 $0 −$15,000 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 34¢ 0¢ $7,000 $0 −$7,000 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 19¢ 0¢ $58,585 $0 −$58,585 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer Elias Ymer 20¢ 0¢ $7,000 $0 −$7,000 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Tom Gentzsch 56¢ 0¢ $12,984 $0 −$12,984 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 36¢ 0¢ $6,000 $0 −$6,000 (-100%)
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu Yuta Shimizu 72¢ 0¢ $19,800 $0 −$19,800 (-100%)
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Alexis Galarneau 42¢ 0¢ $16,704 $0 −$16,704 (-100%)
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina Dalibor Svrcina 51¢ 0¢ $20,100 $0 −$20,100 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jakub Mensik 26¢ 0¢ $49,932 $0 −$49,932 (-100%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jenson Brooksby 37¢ 0¢ $12,720 $0 −$12,720 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 22¢ 0¢ $95,494 $0 −$95,494 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Tuncay Duran Tuncay Duran 38¢ 0¢ $6,096 $0 −$6,096 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Khololwam Montsi Arda Azkara 50¢ 0¢ $4,946 $0 −$4,946 (-100%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Daniel Galan 57¢ 0¢ $30,000 $0 −$30,000 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Petr Bar Biryukov Petr Bar Biryukov 37¢ 0¢ $34,123 $0 −$34,123 (-100%)
Spread: France (-1.5) France 61¢ 0¢ $4,000 $0 −$4,000 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Felix Auger-Aliassime 52¢ 0¢ $33,420 $0 −$33,420 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $88,493 +$50,430 +57%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $29,253 +$19,134 +65%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $60,991 −$60,000 -98%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $25,162 +$53,197 +211%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $53,493 +$23,277 +44%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $20,050 −$19,794 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $30,242 −$29,670 -98%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $30,316 −$30,000 -99%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $24,454 −$24,000 -98%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $11,335 −$11,117 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $30,364 +$22,025 +72%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $40,733 −$39,932 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $31,488 −$31,000 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $71,134 +$81,040 +114%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $10,180 +$30,570 +300%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $30,720 −$30,000 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $18,763 +$21,598 +115%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $14,227 −$14,000 -98%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $10,176 +$13,846 +136%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $9,153 −$9,000 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $37,670 +$61,444 +163%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $15,187 −$15,000 -99%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $9,705 −$9,451 -97%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $5,125 −$5,000 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $20,262 +$15,228 +75%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $50,890 +$71,892 +141%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $7,138 −$7,000 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $15,957 +$57,074 +358%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $6,115 −$6,000 -98%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $17,620 +$21,372 +121%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $10,193 +$17,615 +173%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5,132 −$5,000 -97%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $8,182 +$24,888 +304%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $24,861 +$23,311 +94%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $11,962 +$12,897 +108%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 09 $25,301 −$24,987 -99%
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 09 $7,817 +$7,591 +97%
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Jun 09 $9,121 +$7,876 +86%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 09 $102 −$100 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $9,141 −$9,000 -98%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $12,861 −$12,579 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $13,144 −$12,984 -99%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $1,626 −$1,600 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $16,964 −$16,704 -98%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $10,246 −$10,000 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 09 $12,962 −$12,720 -98%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $9,960 −$9,797 -98%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $20,679 −$20,373 -98%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $9,382 −$9,300 -99%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $6,165 +$3,163 +51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$256,771
other 18% +$65,532
crypto 0% −$311
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 67¢ $19,186 55m
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 66¢ $9,092 58m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $50,072 9h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $38,422 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 SELL Over 99¢ $48,388 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Over 60¢ $10,121 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $30,496 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Over 59¢ $9,110 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Over 59¢ $10,022 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $30,495 12h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson SELL Lucia Bronzetti 99¢ $78,358 12h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 31¢ $25,162 13h
Switzerland leading at halftime? SELL Yes 100¢ $76,771 13h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 69¢ $53,493 14h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 57¢ $20,050 15h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Veronika Erjavec 24¢ $6,893 15h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Veronika Erjavec 23¢ $5,115 15h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Veronika Erjavec 23¢ $5,116 15h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Veronika Erjavec 22¢ $2,999 15h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Veronika Erjavec 86¢ $5,522 15h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Veronika Erjavec 20¢ $3,364 15h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Veronika Erjavec 50¢ $1,233 15h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Daniel Galan 43¢ $10,170 17h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Daniel Galan 93¢ $12,658 17h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Daniel Galan 46¢ $7,488 17h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 91¢ $1,634 18h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 40¢ $7,503 18h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 30¢ $5,105 18h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 30¢ $5,106 18h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Johannus Monday 29¢ $5,107 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-28.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -5.8% -14.8% 41% 41% -4.6%
≤30d 96 -20.5% -28.1% 36% 35% -17.3%
≤90d 96 -20.5% -28.1% 36% 35% -17.3%
all 96 -20.5% -28.1% 36% 35% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.1% 35% -17.3%
10% -34.9% 33% -25.2%
15% ← realistic here -41.2% 31% -32.5%
20% -47.0% 28% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38,424.94 · official $38,424.94 (match) · 329 history records